Premier League

Sunday 17th September 2023

Everton v Arsenal 17:30(CEST)

  • Met 204 times in the league, Everton 61, Draws 43, Arsenal 100
  • Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Everton 1-0 Arsenal
  • Each side took 3 points off the other last season
  • Everton have won the last 3 repeat fixtures (4 of last 5)
  • Everton are unbeaten in their last 5 home league games vs Arsenal
  • Everton have lost just 3 of their last 9 vs Arsenal
  • Everton have lost just 2 of the last 12 repeat fixtures
  • 13 of the last 20 head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • 5 draws in the last 21 head-to-heads
  • Both teams DIDN’T score in last season’s 2 head-to-heads
  • 4 of the last 15 head-to-heads saw RED CARDS (1 Arsenal, 3 Everton)

It’s back to Premier League business this weekend after the international break and one of the highlights is last year’s league runners-up Arsenal travelling to struggling Everton.

On paper and if the betting match odds are anything to go by, then this should be an easy task for Arsenal at 1.53, with the draw 4.50 and Everton 5.75.

Arsenal start the week 5 action on 10 points in 5th and Everton are way back in 18th with just a single point won.

However, this might not be all plain sailing for the Gunners if recent head-to-heads are anything to go by.

Why? Well, Everton won this fixture 1-0 last season and have also won the last three repeat fixtures, plus 4 of the last 5 too.

In fact, the Toffeemen seem to love playing the Gunners and are unbeaten in their last 5 home games vs the London club and have lost only 2 of the last 12 repeat clashes.

With this in mind, the Everton/Draw in the ‘double chance’ market might appeal @ 2.37.

We’ve also seen 5 draws in the last 21 meetings between the sides, which works out a fair 24% strike-rate and can be backed at 4.50.

It’s a matchup that’s also produced over 2.5 goals in 65% of the last 20 meetings and so this might appeal at 1.61, plus both teams DIDN’T score in each of last season’s clashes and is on offer @ 2.00.

The match has also seen 4 RED CARDS in the last 15 head-to-heads so there could be some boil over here, while the scoring markets are dominated by Arsenal players.

Saka, Nketiah and Jesus are all 6.00 to score the first goal and 2.62 anytime, while the shortest-priced Everton player in the scoring markets is Calvert-Lewin at 10.00 or 4.00 anytime.

Overall, it’s a game that Arsenal will be fully expected to win – after all, Everton have only managed 1 point this season for far, which came in a 1-1 draw vs Sheff Utd the last time they played.

However, it’s hard to ignore the great home record the Toffeemen have against Arsenal and the value call could be with Everton to nick something again here.

BEST BET: Everton or Draw (Double Chance) @ 2.37