England vs Malta 20:45 (CET) Friday 17th November 2023

Euro Qualifying

England vs Malta Head-to-Head Stats

  • Played 4 times before (England 4, Draws 0, Malta 0)
  • FIFA World Rankings, England 4, Malta 171
  • Last met, Euro Qualifier (16th June) Malta 0-4 England
  • Harry Kane scored 3 goals in the last two head-to-heads
  • England have beaten Malta 4-0 in the last 2 head-to-heads
  • Malta have scored just 1 goal vs England (4 games)
  • England have scored 12 goals vs Malta (4 games)
  • 16 of England’s last 25 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS (64%)
  • Both DIDN’T score in 25 of England’s last 37 games (68%)
  • England have lost just 4 of their last 41 games (90 mins) (90%)
  • England have won 20 of their last 39 games ‘to nil’
  • Kane (England) is their current top scorer (61)
  • England have won 2 of their last 3 games 3-1
  • Both teams DIDN’T score in 7 of the last 8
  • Malta have scored 3 goals in their last 8 games

England have already secured their place at Euro 2024 having banked 16 points from their opening six games with 5 wins and a draw.

The Three Lions still have two matches to play but even though they have already qualified they will still want to top the table and next up is a home clash with Malta – who are ranked a massive 167 places behind them in the FIFA ratings.

They met back in June when England won 4-0, that included two penalties from Harry Kane and Callum Wilson an own goal and a Trent Alexander-Arnold goal.

This will be the fifth time the sides have faced-off and it’s no shocker that England have won the lot – with the last two head-to-heads also ending 4-0, which can be backed again at 5.00.

The match betting is as one-sided as you’ll ever see in a football match – with England 1.02, the draw 19.00 and the shock Malta win 81.00.

Therefore, if having a bet on this game we must look away from the 90-minute match market.

Over 2.5 goals is an option, but even this is just 1.18, but we can add more with over 3.5 goals on offer at 1.44 and over 4.5 at 2.00 – which looks fair value with England scoring four vs Malta last time and that being away.

Both teams NOT to scored is only 1.14 too as it’s hard seeing Malta getting on the scoresheet, but they have netted in three of their last 8 – including away at North Macedonia, so you never know.

The Three Lions have won 20 of their last 39 games ‘to nil’, so this is another option – but even this is just 1.16.

In lob-sided matches like this, the handicap market is another place to look. You can back England with a -4-goal start (so will need to win by 5 clear goals) at 2.30 – or play this the other way round and back Malta with a +4 start and home they can keep England to just scoring 3 or less.

The scorers’ market will be very popular in a one-sided game like this too, but with Southgate likely to be chopping and changing his side here having already qualified then team news will be key.

In-form Harry Kane will be popular if playing as the Munich man looks for his 62nd England goal – he’s on the table at 3.00 (1st) or just 1.25 (anytime).

Ollie Watkins could get a chance and the Villa striker can be backed at 3.75 (1st) or 1.40 (anytime), while late call-up Cole Palmer could feature too and the Chelsea player, who scored the equalizer in their amazing 4-4 draw against Man City at the weekend, is 6.00 (1st) or 1.83 (anytime).

Overall, it’s a game that, of course, England will be winning – it would be one of the biggest shocks in world football if they weren’t. Yes, they are already through to Euro 2024, but Southgate will want to still top their group and keep up their good form and team morale.

England to win ‘to nil’ looks like a banker but the odds reflect this and with team news likely to be last- minute here the safe option looks to side in the overs/unders goals market.

The Three Lions have beaten Malta 4-0 in their last two meetings, but if we just add one more goal here and hope for five strikes in the match the 2.00 on offer here looks fair value.

You feel that if England get an early goal – in the first 15 minutes and can get to half-time with at least 2 goals on the board, then the floodgates could open in the second half.

BEST BET: OVER 4.5 GOALS @ 2.00