Premier League Sunday 9th April 2023

Liverpool v Arsenal 16:30

  • Met 197 times in the league before, Liverpool 79, Draws 52, Arsenal 66
  • Already met this season in the league, Arsenal 3-2 Liverpool
  • Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Liverpool 4-0 Arsenal
  • Both teams DIDN’T score in 6 of the last 7 head-to-heads
  • Liverpool have lost just 1 of their last 9 vs Arsenal
  • Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 vs Arsenal
  • 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
  • Liverpool have won the last 6 repeat fixtures
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in the last 9 repeat fixtures
  • 6 DRAWS in the last 15 head-to-heads

In recent years a Liverpool vs Arsenal clash would probably be more focused on the Merseyside team and the title race, with Arsenal more in a challenge for a top four slot.

However, things have been turned on their head this season as it’s The Gunners that are in pole position in the league – sitting 8 points clear of Man City at the start of this weekend.

While, in contrast, Liverpool are back in 8th on just 42 points and in real danger of not making the Champions League for the first time in a long while.

The match betting favours Arsenal at 8/5, with the draw 13/5 and Liverpool 31/20.

They met earlier this season in the league and that ended in a 3-2 win for Arsenal – a repeat of that score can be backed at 25/1.

But Liverpool fans might gain some hope from remembering this clash was won by them 4-0 last season. However, they seem a million miles away from that side this campaign.

Another option might be in the both teams NOT to score market – this bet has paid out in 6 of the last 7 meetings and is much the better value in this two-horse race market at 5/4.

3 of the last 4 head-to-heads also went UNDER 2.5 GOALS, so this might appeal at 6/5, but a small word of caution here as don’t forget the last time they played there were 5 goals scored!

Liverpool also have a fair record against Arsenal in recent years – they have lost only 1 of their last 9, which came last time they played.

While the Reds have also won all of the last 6 repeat fixtures and also scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 vs the Gunners.

We have also seen 6 draws in the last 15 (40%) matchups, so this is a fair return on a bet that is priced at 13/5.

The player scoring markets are dominated by the usual suspects with Jesus, who is back from injury and in scoring form at 11/2 (1st) or 15/8 (anytime) for Arsenal.

Salah is the shortest-priced of the Liverpool players to score at 11/2 (1st) or 15/8 (anytime), while Saka was on target with a brace when Arsenal won 3-2 the last time they met. The England superstar is on offer at 8/1 (1st) or 11/4 (anytime) , or at 20/1 to net another brace.

Overall, the current form of the sides suggests Arsenal, despite being away here, are the value at 8/5 – they know another win here against one of their harder teams left to play and they’ll have one hand on the Premier League title.