Premier League

Sunday 7th May 2023

Newcastle United v Arsenal 16:30

  • Met 175 times in the league before, Newcastle 64, Draws 37, Arsenal 74
  • Already played this season in the league, Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
  • Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Newcastle 2-0 Arsenal
  • Arsenal have not scored in the last 2 head-to-heads
  • Arsenal have won 4 of the last 7 head-to-heads 2-0
  • Arsenal have won 8 of their last 10 vs Newcastle ‘to nil’
  • Newcastle have NOT scored in 9 of their last 10 vs Arsenal
  • 8 of the last 10 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
  • Last season’s head-to-head saw a RED CARD (Newcastle)
  • Saka (Arsenal) has scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-heads

A huge Premier League game for both Arsenal and Newcastle this Sunday as the Gunners are chasing the title still – in a ‘flip-flop’ battle with Man City.

While Newcastle continue their quest for a ‘top four’ finish.

The match betting sees Newcastle at 29/20, the Draw 13/5 and Arsenal at 13/8.

The sides met earlier this season at the Emirates in a tight clash that ended 0-0 and this repeat fixture last term ended 2-0 to Newcastle, so you feel it won’t all be plain-sailing here for the Londoners.

Arsenal also head into the match having not scored in their last two now vs Newcastle, but prior to that had won 8 of their last 10 vs the Magpies ‘to nil’.

You can back a Newcastle clean sheet at 3/1 or Arsenal to win ‘to nil’ at 9/2.

It’s also a fixture that has seen few goals, with 80% of the last 10 matchups going Under 2.5 Goals, which is on the table at 13/10.

This is also backed-up with both teams having NOT scored in 9 of the last 10 and can be supported at 11/8.

We also saw a RED card when the sides met in this clash last season (Newcastle), so if you expect fireworks again, then a sending off (any side) in the game can be backed at 6/1.

Looking at the scoring markets, Newcastle’s Callum Wilson has fired in 15 goals this season and can be backed at 9/2 (1st) or 6/4 (anytime), while Isak (10 goals) is 5/1 (1st) or 13/8 (anytime).

The Arsenal player at the lowest odds to score is Jesus, who was on target in their last win over Chelsea. He’s fired in 10 goals this season and is 11/2 (1st) or 15/8 (anytime).

Other Arsenal scorers to note are Martin Odegaard with 14 goals this term at 10/1 (1st) or 7/2 (anytime) and Saka (14 goals) at 8/1 (1st) or 11/4 (anytime).

Overall, it’s a game that both sides will know the importance of a win. But in recent years it’s been a cagey low-scoring affairs.

With that in mind, the Under 2.5 Goals at 6/5 looks fair value.