Premier League Saturday 21st October 2023

Liverpool v Everton 13:30(CEST)

  • Met 208 times in the league before, Liverpool 81, Draws 69, Everton 58
  • Last repeat fixture ended, Liverpool 2-0 Everton
  • Liverpool took 4 points off Everton last season
  • Everton have not scored in the last 3 head-to-heads
  • 6 of the last 12 league head-to-heads ended in DRAWS
  • Liverpool have won the last 2 repeat fixtures 2-0
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in 27 of their last 28 vs Everton (all comps) 10 of the last 14 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
  • Both teams DIDN’T score in 9 of the last 12 head-to-heads
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in 22 of their last 23 home league games vs Everton
  • 12 DRAWS in the last 24 head-to-heads
  • Liverpool have scored in 19 of their last 21 vs Everton
  • 4 of the last 10 league head-to-heads ended 0-0
  • Mo Salah (Liverpool) has scored 4 goals in the last 6 head-to-heads

After the latest international break, it’s back to Premier League action for the English sides and we get going on Saturday lunchtime with the latest instalment of the Merseyside Derby.

Liverpool will host Everton at Anfield, in what will be the 209th time the sides have met in the league and it’s the Reds that hold the clear advantage in the overall league head-to-heads with 81 wins, to 58 for Everton (69 draws).

Klopp’s men also took 4 points off Everton in the league last season and are remarkably unbeaten in 27 of their last 28 vs their neighbours and rivals in all competitions.

While Liverpool are also unbeaten in 22 of their last 23 home matches vs Everton.

The match betting reflects this stat again, with Liverpool just 1.30, the draw 5.50 and Everton 9.00.

Despite these stats, there is some glimmer of hope for Everton fans as a fair few recent clashes have ended in draws – 50% of the last 24 in fact, including 6 of the last 12 league head-to-heads.

Other betting options that might appeal are that Liverpool have won the last two head-to-heads 2-0 and this can be backed again at 9.00, while 4 of the last 10 also finished goalless, so 0-0 can be supported in the betting at 21.00.

With the Liverpool firepower, you’d think that there’s also been a lot of goals in these Merseyside Derby matches. However, they can often be cagey affairs and this is backed up with 10 of the last 14 going Under 2.5 Goals, so the 2.87 here on 2 or less goals scored looks fair value.

Or you could opt for Under 3.5 goals at 1.72.

This is also factored into the BTTS market as 9 of the last 12 meetings saw BTTS (no) payout, so this might appeal too at 2.10.

Finally, the scoring markets in recent head-to-heads have been dominated by Liverpool’s Mo Salah. The Egyptian striker has scored 4 goals in the last 6 head-to-heads and can be backed at 4.50 (1st) or 1.95 (anytime).

Of the Everton players, it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin that is their shortest-priced player at 11.00 (1st) or 4.00 (anytime).

Overall, it’s a game you expect Liverpool to win, but the formbook can often get thrown out of the window in this fixture.

The Reds are no value at 1.30 in the match betting, so we are happy to side with the Under 3.5 Goals option at 1.72. Don’t forget 10 of the last 14 (71%) clashes went Under 2.5 Goals, but we are adding an extra goal for safety here.

BEST BET: UNDER 3.5 GOALS @ 1.72