Premier League Saturday 1st April Manchester City v Liverpool 12:30

  • Played 173 times in the league, Man City 45, Draw 45, Liverpool 83
  • Met in the league this season, Liverpool 1-0 Man City
  • Met in the EFL Cup (City 3- 2 Liverpool) and Comm Shield (Liverpool 1-0 City) this season too
  • Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Man City 2-2 Liverpool
  • Mo Salah has scored in all 3 head-to-heads this season
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in 18 of their last 23 vs Man City (all comps)
  • Both teams scored in 13 of the last 18 head-to-heads (all comps)
  • Mo Salah (Liverpool) has scored 10 goals in the last 16 head-to-heads
  • Man City have lost just 1 of their last 13 home league games vs Liverpool
  • 13 of the last 17 head-to-heads (all comps) went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • 10 of the last 11 repeat fixtures went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • 3 DRAWS in the last 8 head-to-heads

It’s back to Premier League action this weekend and we get going with a ‘bang’ as it’s the Champions Manchester City hosting Liverpool. The top-flight English sides are having contrasting seasons – with Liverpool’s all but over, while Man City are still in the Champions League and are also trying to hunt down league leaders Arsenal.

City start this weekend 8 points away from Arsenal (with a game in-hand) so they can’t afford many more slip-ups. Home advantage will help and the match betting seems to suggest all 3 points here for the Champions with City at 4/7, the Draw 10/3 and Liverpool 17/4. However, the sides have already played this term in the league and that ended in a 1-0 Liverpool win at Anfield.

While they’ve also faced-off in the Community Shield (1-0 to Liverpool), and the EFL Cup, which City won 3-2. This repeat fixture last season also ended in a 2-2 thriller, which can be backed again at 16/1. Both teams to score is another option as this has paid out in 13 of the last 18 head-to-heads – this is on offer at 4/6. While it’s often a clash that produces goals – 72% of the last 18 matchups saw 3+ goals scored, so you could back Over 2.5 Goals at 8/13.

City have also lost only one of their last 13 home league games vs Liverpool, but it’s worth pointing out there has been 3 draws in the last 8 head-to-heads. In terms of the scoring markets, no shocker to see City’s Erling Haaland as the favourite to find the back of the net at 4/6 (anytime) or 9/4 (1st). But Liverpool’s Mo Salah has a habit of scoring against City too – the Egyptian has scored 10 goals in the last 16 head-to-heads – can be supported at 8/1 (1st) or 11/4 (anytime). Overall, it’s a game both teams need to win – City in their quest to defend their league title and Liverpool need the points if they want to keep their ‘top four’ dreams alive.

So, we could be in for an open affair, so Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/13 is how we are going to play this one. If you’re feeling brave, you could opt for another goals (Over 3.5 Goals) at 6/4.

 

BEST BET: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/6