Premier League Outright Betting Preview (2023/24)
After Liverpool landed their first Premier League title in 2019-20, normal service has been resumed for Manchester City over the last three seasons as Pep Guardiola guided City to their seventh Premier League title, their third on the spin now and their eighth top-flight league success in total.
Arsenal were the main challengers to City this year and Arteta’s men looked to have one hand on the trophy around Christmas time.
However, the Gunners ran out of steam over the last third of games and with City in rampant form over the last few months that also saw them land the Prem/FA Cup and Champions League treble there seems to be no stopping them now.
So, what does the betting look like ahead of next season (2023-24) in the Premier League?
2022-23 Premier League Outright Betting
Football fans have had no major summer tournament to keep things ticking over, so when the action gets going again in early August, soccer lovers will be chomping at the bit.
The Premier League action gets underway on Friday 11th August and it’s the champions City that get us going with an away trip to Burnley – the match will have an extra added sub-plot as old City favourite Vincent Kompany is now the manager of newly-promoted Burnley.
Here are the full ‘WEEK ONE’ Premier League Fixtures
Friday 11th August 2023
Burnley v Manchester City 20:00
Saturday 12th August 2023
Arsenal v Nottingham Forest 12:30
Bournemouth v West Ham United 15:00
Brighton & Hove Albion v Luton Town 15:00
Everton v Fulham 15:00
Sheffield United v Crystal Palace 15:00
Newcastle United v Aston Villa 17:30
Sunday 13th August 2023
Brentford v Tottenham Hotspur 14:00
Chelsea v Liverpool 16:30
Monday 14th August 2023
Manchester United v Wolverhampton Wanderers 20:00
Looking at the current Premier League betting market, the bookmakers have the reigning champions – Manchester City – around 4/6 with Arsenal next best at 7/1, Liverpool 8/1, Man Utd 8/1, Chelsea 12/1 and Newcastle 14/1 – with Spurs 40/1 and the best name your price. (odds are subject to change).
Therefore, the betting very much has a ‘one-horse race’ feel to it. We can expect Man City to strengthen-up a bit more during the transfer window in the summer too (as if they even need to) – with players like Declan Rice on target.
Despite giving Arsenal a head start City will managed to win the title with games to spare and in the end notched up 89 points, which was 5 more than Arsenal in second and a massive 14 points more than their bitter rivals Manchester United in third.
City also scored a massive 94 goals last season in the league – with Erling Haaland getting 36 of those – and this tally was 6 more than Arsenal and a massive 36 more than Man Utd.
We can expect another fair challenge from Arsenal, and it will be interesting to see who they buy in the summer. But it also remains to be seen how the effects of having the title almost won and losing it will impact their squad. The Gunners are sitting second best in the outright betting at 7/1 and will still have their supporters.
Newcastle continued their slowly slowly rebuild and after getting 4th will be in the Champions League next season and this means they can attract better players in the summer transfer window – they are 14/1 to win the league, but you feel they might still need a few more seasons to catch up City.
Manchester United are on the way back up after several dire campaigns and head into the new season with a similar profile to Newcastle. We can expect a few more buys and some clear-outs which will make them interesting next term, but they still need to fine 30+ goals on City and 14 overall points.
The 2019-20 winners Liverpool don’t look the same side these days. Losing Mane last season was a big blow as he was a player that scored and assisted, while despite getting 19 league goals Mo Salah is now 31 and not getting any younger and defender Virgil van Dijk has not look the same player since his bad injury.
What About The Rest? Tottenham and Chelsea both seem to have fallen off the pace in recent season and there is every chance Spurs could lose their main man Harry Kane in the summer too. He bagged 30 league goals this season and that will be a big hole to fill if the England man does leave the North London side.
Then a former Spurs boss – Mauricio Pochettino – is the new head man at Chelsea, who has a season to forget last term. They’ve splashed the cash last season and have an array of talent, but we’ll have to see how Poch gets the best of his group of players. You feel that based on
last season the 12/1 on them bouncing back to win the league looks a tad skinny – a shorter price than the more-solid looking Newcastle!
Overall, it would be a huge shock if Manchester City are not good enough to defend their title for a fourth season on the spin.
BEST BET: MANCHESTER CITY @ 4/6
BEST OUTSIDER: NEWCASTLE @ 14/1
PREMIER LEAGUE WINNERS BY TEAM (Started in 1992-93)
MANCHESTER UNITED -13
MANCHESTER CITY – 7
CHELSEA -5
ARSENAL – 3
BLACKBURN ROVERS -1
LIVERPOOL -1
LEICESTER CITY – 1
PREMIER LEAGUE – RECENT WINNERS
- 2022-23 – MANCHESTER CITY
- 2021-22 – MANCHESTER CITY
- 2020-21: MANCHESTER CITY
- 2019-20: LIVERPOOL
- 2018-19: MANCHESTER CITY
- 2017-18: MANCHESTER CITY
- 2016-17: CHELSEA
- 2015-16: LEICESTER CITY
- 2014-14: CHELSEA
- 2013-14: MANCHESTER CITY
- 2012-13: MANCHESTER UNITED
- 2011-12: MANCHESTER CITY
- 2010-11: MANCHESTER UNITED
- 2009-10: CHELSEA
- 2008-09: MANCHESTER UNITED
- 2007-08: MANCHESTER UNITED
- 2006-07: MANCHESTER UNITED
- 2005-06: CHELSEA
- 2004-05: CHELSEA
- 2003-04: ARSENAL