Premier League

Saturday 18th February 2023

Newcastle United v Liverpool 17:30

  • Played 171 times in the league, Newcastle 44, Draws 43, Liverpool 84
  • Already played this season in the league, Liverpool 2-1 Newcastle
  • 7 of the last 12 head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • Both teams scored in 8 of the last 12 head-to-heads
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 12 vs Newcastle
  • Liverpool have won 8 of their last 10 vs Newcastle
  • Liverpool have scored 2+ goals in 7 of their last 10 vs Newcastle
  • 2 of the last 5 head-to-heads ended in DRAWS
  • Mo Salah (Liverpool) has scored in 6 of the last 10 head-to-heads
  • Newcastle have lost just 3 of their last 8 home league games vs Liverpool

Back in 1996 and 1997, Liverpool beat Newcastle 4-3 twice in the space of two games – in what are still two matches that people refer back to when these sides meet.

It’s unlikely we are going to get that scoreline again, with Newcastle a lot more secure at the back these days, but if you do fancy the fairy tale 4-3 Liverpool win again it’s on offer at 100/1.

Liverpool got back to winning ways last time with a 2-0 win over Everton, but the former Premier League champs are still very much struggling this season with on 32 points – which is 9 adrift of Newcastle.

The sides met earlier this season with Liverpool winning 2-1 thanks to a very late Firmino goal – a win that has seen the Reds now win their last three over the Magpies.

In fact, Liverpool are also unbeaten in their last 12 vs the Toon and have won 8 of their last 10 vs them.

The match betting sees Liverpool on offer at 15/8, with the Draw 5/2 and Newcastle at 7/5.

Other betting options that might appeal based on the stats are 7 of the last 12 head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/5, while both teams scored in 8 of the last 12 – this is on the table at 8/13.

Liverpool have also scored 2+ goals in 70% of their last 10 matches vs Newcastle, so this might be of interest at 11/8.

Mo Salah has had a quiet season – by his standards – but he was on target in Liverpool’s last win over Everton and also seems to like playing against Newcastle. The Egyptian striker is on offer at 11/2 (1st) or 2/1 (anytime) to get on the scoresheet.

Looking at the Newcastle players, the former Everton striker Anthony Gordon, who is now a Magpie, could come back to haunt the Reds – he’s on offer at 15/2 (1st) or 11/4 (anytime).

Overall, it’s a game that Liverpool will be wanting to win to keep their ‘top four’ dreams alive, but with home advantage then Newcastle won’t be easy to rollover.

The safest call looks to side with both teams to score. Liverpool rarely play Newcastle without scoring, while Newcastle has scored in 3 of their last 4 vs the Merseysiders too.

 

BEST BET: BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE @ 8/13