Manchester City v Newcastle United 21:00 (CEST)

Premier League, Saturday 19th August 2023

  • Met 172 times in the league before, Man City 69, Draw 38, Newcastle 65
  • Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Man City 2-0 Newcastle
  • Man City took 4 points off Newcastle last season
  • Man City have lost just 1 of their last 32 games in the league vs Newcastle
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 11 league head-to-heads
  • 11 of the last 15 league head-to-heads went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • 12 of the last 14 repeat league fixtures went OVER 2.5 GOALS
  • 8 of the last 11 repeat league fixtures went OVER 3.5 GOALS
  • Man City have scored at least 2 goals in 10 of the last 11 repeat league fixtures
  • Just 2 DRAWS in the last 25 league head-to-heads
  • Silva (Man City) scored in both head-to-heads last season

One of the games of week two in the Premier League sees the champions Manchester City hosting Newcastle in a rare Saturday evening clash.

Both sides got off to impressive winning starts in their opening games, with City beating Burnley 3-0 away and Newcastle seeing off Villa 4-1 at home.

The match betting sees City the big favourite here though at 8/13, with the draw 16/5 and Newcastle on the table at 5/1.

This repeat fixture last season ended in a 2-0 win for City and you can back a repeat of that at 7/1, while the Manchester side have also lost just 1 of their last 32 games vs Newcastle in the league.

City have scored at least 2+ goals in 10 of their last 11 vs Newcastle too – but this is on offer at just 8/13.

Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 11 clashes so a stat you can take either way really – with both teams to find the back of the net at 10/11.

It’s also a fixture that has tended to see goals with 11 of the last 15 meetings going OVER 2.5 Goals and also 12 of the last 14. You can back 3+ goals in the game at 4/5, which looks fair value in a bet that’s paid out in 86% of the last 14.

There have also only been 2 draws in the last 25 head-to-heads, so we tend to get a result one-way or another here but City/Newcastle in the ‘double chance’ market is only 2/9.

The scoring markets are going to be – as always – dominated by Haaland, who got two goals on the opening weekend, while City’s Silva also scored in both head-to-heads last season and might be worth a dabble too.

Overall, it’s a great early season clash between two big very rich Premier League clubs, but with each side also having a lot of fire power and having scored 3 and 4 goals in their opening matches, then the OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/5 looks the way to play this Saturday night humdinger.

BEST BET: OVER 2.5 GOALS @ 4/5