Saturday 10th March 2018
Man Utd v Liverpool 12:30
When the Premier League fixtures are announced each year the Manchester United v Liverpool encounter is always one of the first matches football fans look out for. Yes, we’ve had to wait around 7 months since the start of the season, but this Saturday lunchtime we get a chance to see the pair do battle at Old Trafford.
Both sides are currently right in the mix of the ‘top four’ battle, but with Man City being the clear leaders and Arsenal floundering, then really the three remaining top flour places are between Man Utd, Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea.
It’s close between the four too, so a win for either United or Liverpool here will be massive, but, that said, that a draw is also not a bad outcome here – with both sides having easier games remaining as the season moves on.
The match betting indicated a very close clash with the sides evenly priced-up. Man Utd are on offer at 2.60, with the Draw 3.30 and Liverpool 2.62 – so virtually joint-favourites in the betting!
What do the stats suggest?
The teams played earlier in the season at Anfield – with that one finishing 0-0. A repeat of that result can be supported at 11.00.
In fact, last season’s repeat of this fixture also finished in a draw – this time 1-1 – while ALL of the last four head-to-heads (all competitions) ended with the points shared!
Taking that into account, and also with the draw being the biggest of the win/draw/win prices, then a point each for both teams is sure to be popular with punters.
Liverpool are haven’t lost in their last five vs United (home and away), but it’s also worth pointing out that United are undefeated in their last four vs Liverpool. Again, more to suggest the draw will be a bet on a lot of people’s radars.
Will there be goals in the Match? If recent head-to-heads are anything to go by, then – no! ALL of the last 6 meetings between these sides went UNDER 2.5 GOALS, while the last two head-to-heads at Old Trafford finished 1-1. This score line can be backed at 6.50, while less than 3 goals (Under 2.5) is on offer at a tempting 1.90.
Both teams have found the back of the net in the last 3 head-to-heads, so at 1.70 this might also appeal.
Liverpool’s scoring sensation – Mo Salah – continues to fire in the goals and was on scoresheet again last weekend against Newcastle. He’s now netted 23 league goals and is sure to be popular in the scoring markets again. United’s Romelu Lukaku leads the way for the Red Devils in the league with 14 goals, and scored again last week in their 2-3 away win over Palace. However, it is worth noting the bulk of those Lukaku league goals have come against the lesser Premier League sides.
So, yes, the DRAW looks the best value in a match that the betting suggests will be very close. Another option when siding with the draw in these close-looking games is to delve into the half-time/full-time market. You can back HT – Man Utd / FT – Draw and HT Liverpool / FT Draw both at 15.00. Split stakes over both outcomes means you’ll just need one team to be winning at Half-time and then the game to end in a draw – certainly possibly when you’ve got evenly-matched sides like United and Liverpool locking horns.
HT – MAN UTD / FT – DRAW @15.00
HT – LIVERPOOL / FT – DRAW @15.00
Manchester United v Liverpool 12:30
- Already played this season, Liverpool 0-0 Man Utd
- Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Man Utd 1-1 Liverpool
- The last 4 head-to-heads (all comps) ended in DRAWS
- The last 6 head-to-heads (all comps) went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- The last 2 head-to-heads at Old Trafford ended 1-1
- Man Utd are unbeaten in their last 4 home games vs Liverpool
- Liverpool are unbeaten (home/away) in their last 5 vs Man Utd
- Both teams scored in the last 3 head-to-heads at Old Trafford
- Mo Salah (23) is Liverpool’s leading league scorer this season
- Lukaku (13) is Man Utd’s leading league scorer this season