Italy v Portugal – Nations League Betting Guide: 17th Nov 2018

Saturday 17th November 2018

UEFA Nations League

Italy v Portugal 19:45

 

A real European heavyweight clash this Saturday night as Italy host Portugal in the Nations League.

With two wins from their opening two games then Portugal top group A3, but Italy are hot on their heels with 4 points so a win for the Italians here would see them to top – but it is worth noting Portugal have also played a game less.

The sides have met 26 times in the past, with Italy having the clear edge on 17 wins, to Portugal’s 7 victories, while we’ve seen 2 draws,

The sides bet recently in this competition with Portugal winning that clash 1-0, however, Italy are unbeaten in their last 8 home games against Portugal so now playing in front of their home fans we can expect a sterner test for the visitors.

The match betting reflects this too with Italy on offer at 2.15, with the draw on 3.20 and Portugal 3.50.

In fact, Italy have won their last 5 home games against Portugal ‘to nil’ so at 3.40 a repeat of this might appeal.

Other key stats are that both teams ‘didn’t score in 9 of the last 12 clashes, while 4 of the last 5 also went UNDER 2.5 GOALS – Both teams ‘not’ to score is on offer at 1.72, while Under 2.5 goals is 1.57.

So, in what looks set to be a tight game the safest call here looks to side with a low-scoring encounter and stick with the Under 2.5 goals that’s on offer at 1.57.

BEST BET: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @1.57

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Saturday 17th November 2018

UEFA Nations League

Italy v Portugal 19:45

  • Met 26 times, Italy 17, Draws 2, Portugal 7
  • FIFA World Rankings, Italy 19, Portugal 7
  • Last met (2018), Portugal 1-0 Italy
  • Portugal have won the last 2 head-to-heads 1-0
  • Italy are unbeaten in their last 8 home games vs Portugal
  • Italy have won their last 5 home games vs Portugal ‘to nil’
  • Portugal have NOT scored in their last 5 away games at Italy
  • 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads played in Italy went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
  • Both teams DIDN’T score in 9 of the last 12 head-to-heads
  • NO DRAWS in the last 8 head-to-heads