England vs Italy 20:45(CEST) Tuesday 17th October 2023 Euro 2024 Qualifier

Recent Head-to-Head Stats

  • Met 31 times before, England 9, Draws 11, Italy 11
  • FIFA World Rankings, England 4, Italy 9
  • Last played (Euro Qual, 2023) Italy 1-2 England
  • Italy have lost just 2 of their last 12 vs England
  • 3 of the last 6 head-to-heads ended 1-1
  • 5 DRAWS in the last 9 head-to-heads (4 of the last 6)
  • 10 of the last 14 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-heads
  • 15 of England’s last 24 games went OVER 2.5 GOALS (65%)
  • Both DIDN’T score in 25 of England’s last 36 games (69%)
  • England have lost just 4 of their last 40 games (90 mins) (90%)
  • England have won 20 of their last 38 games ‘to nil’
  • Kane (England) is their current top scorer (59)
  • Italy have conceded in 13 of their last 18 games
  • Italy have lost 4 of their last 15 games

After beating Australia 1-0 ia Friendly last Friday, it’s back to European Qualifying business this Tuesday as England welcome Italy to Wembley.

Of, course the Three Lions will still be hurting after losing to the Azzurri in the European Championship 2021 final on penalties and since then the sides have met three times.

These recent trio of head-to-heads have been an even spread with a win each and a draw.

The current standings in Group C, see England topping the table with 13 points, with Italy and Ukraine hot on their heels with 10 points, so this will be a big match for both teams.

The last matchup saw a 2-1 away win for England back in March, with goals from Declan Rice and Harry Kane in a game Luke Shaw also saw red in (80th min).

Looking at the match odds, England are the betting favourites at 1.65, with the draw 3.75 and Italy on offer at 5.50 to win the game.

Italy have lost only 2 of their last 12 vs England, which will give them hope, while the last three matches between the sides played on English soil have seen all see Italy avoid defeat – the last time England beat Italy at home was in a Friendly back in 1997 with a 2-0 win after goals from Ian Wright and Paul Scholes.

It’s also been a clash that’s seen a lot of draws in recent clashes – 4 of the last 6 head-to-heads ended all-square, while 3 of the last 6 finished 1-1. You can back another 1-1 at 7.00.

Other betting options might be Under 2.5 Goals as 10 of the last 14 (71%) saw less than 3 goals scored between both sides, but a small word of caution as 15 of England’s last 24 games went the other way (over 2.5 goals) – as did 4 of Italy’s last five.

Italy also come into the game having easily beaten Malta 4-0 and before that saw off Ukraine 2-1 – a win here over England would see them draw level on points with the Three Lions, with two more games each left to play.

Both teams to score has paid out in 6 of the last 8 head-to-heads, so this could be an option at 2.10, with a fair 75% return, while we can expect many changes from England in terms of personal – based on the team sheet from their last game vs Australia.

Harry Kane, who is looking for his 60th England goal, is sure to be back up top, while the in-form Jude Bellingham is another Three Lion that will surely start.

Kane can be backed at 4.50 (1st) or 2.20 (anytime), while Bellingham is on offer at 8.50 (1st) or 3.75 (anytime). Italy’s shortest-priced player in the scoring markets is Napoli’s Giacomo Raspadori at 9.50 (1st) or 4.00 (anytime), while Inters Davide Frattesi has scored 3 goals in their last 2 games and can be backed at 26.00 (1st) or 11.00 (anytime).

Overall, it’s all set up to be a cagey-looking match, and with 4 of the last 6 meetings ended in draws, there looks to be some value here at 3.75.

BEST BET: DRAW 3.75