England v Italy – International Friendly Betting Guide: 27th March 2018

Tuesday 27th March 2018
England v Italy 20:00

Next up for Gareth Southgate’s Three Lions is a home Friendly against Italy, as England continue their build-up for the up-coming World Cup Finals in Russia.

England will head into the match full of confidence after a 0-1 away win over Holland – the first time they’ve beaten the Dutch since 1996!

If you were impressed with that performance and you think England can win the World Cup then you’ll be rewarded with odds of 19.00.

Italy didn’t make the Finals in the summer so they will be a big loss to many footballing fans but they are still a huge footballing nation and will provide a stern test for England.

They last met in 2015 and that ended 1-1, while in total they’ve played 26 times with Italy holding the slight edge with 10 wins to England’s 8 (plus 8 draws).

The last time they locked horns at Wembley (2002) that resulted in a 1-2 win for Italy so England do have a few scores to settle.

Looking at the match betting though and with home advantage and their current better overall form then it’s no surprise to see England as favourites at 2.15, with the Draw 3.30 and Italy 3.90.

What are the other main head-to-head stats? We’ve seen 3 draws in the last 7 head-to-heads, while generally when these sides meet they are low-scoring affairs.

6 of the last 9 meetings between these sides went UNDER 2.5 GOALS, while if we add in that ALL of England’s last 5 games went UNDER 1.5 GOALS, plus all of Italy’s last 5 games saw less than 3 goals then every thing points to a low-scoring affair.

At 1.53 we are not going to get rich backing Under 2.5 goals but it does look a solid option. In fact, England haven’t conceded in their last 5 games and having played the likes of Holland, Germany and Brazil during that period then that’s an excellent recent record.

Both teams NOT to score could be another bet to have on your radar as Italy are having trouble in front of goal at the moment – they’ve netted just 1 in their last 4 – but also have a fair bit to prove having won just 1 of their last 5 games.

With England boss Gareth Southgate sure to do a bit more tinkering then these games are always a bit risky to bet on but it’s hard to get away from the fact the Three Lions haven’t lost in 7 games now and seem to have tighten things up at the back of late.

With players playing for their World Cup places then we can expect a solid performance for all the England men, while – in contrast – Italy’s player are really only playing for pride as they will try and highlight to the rest of the world want they will be missing out on during the summer.

The safe call in the match betting market is the 2.15 on offer on England but in what is expected to be a low-scoring game then we’ll stick with the 1.53 on UNDER 2.5 GOALS – If you are feeling a bit braver, then you might opt for the 2.62 on offer on Under 1.5 goals.

Best Bet: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @1.53

 

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Tuesday 27th March 2018
England v Italy 20:00

– Last met 2015, Italy 1-1 England
– Last head-to-head at Wembley ended, (2002) England 1-2 Italy
– Played 26 times, Italy 10, Draw 8, England 8
– Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads
– 6 of the last 9 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
– 3 DRAWS in the last 7 head-to-heads
– Italy have scored in 5 of their last 6 head-to-heads against England
– Italy have scored just 1 goal in their last 4 games
– Italy’s last 5 games ALL went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
– Italy have won just 1 of their last 5 games
– Both teams DIDN’T score in 5 of Italy’s last 6 games
– England are unbeaten in their last 7 games
– England have not conceded in their last 5 games
– England’s last 5 games ALL went UNDER 1.5 GOALS
– Both teams DIDN’T score in 4 of England’s last 5 games