Premier League
Sunday 4th September 2022
Manchester United v Arsenal 16:30
- Met 206 times in the league before, Man Utd 84, Draws 49, Arsenal 73
- Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Man Utd 3-2 Arsenal
- Each side took 3 points off the other last season
- 5 of the last 7 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- 3 of the last 7 repeat fixtures ended 1-1
- 4 of the last 8 repeat fixtures ended in DRAWS
- Man Utd are unbeaten in 14 of the last 15 repeat fixtures
- Both teams DIDN’T score in 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads
- Arsenal have won just 6 of their last 22 league games vs Man Utd
- Ronaldo (Man Utd) scored 2 in the repeat fixture last season
- Ronaldo (Man Utd) scored 3 in the last 2 head-to-heads
Not so long ago this Manchester United v Arsenal clash was arguably one of the biggest Premier League fixtures of the season and certainly used to have a massive impact on the title race.
However, despite still being a big game, both Manchester United and Arsenal are not quite the forces they were, so it’s a bit of a tricky match to call.
That said, Arsenal have started the new 2022/23 Premier League season in tip-top form and at the beginning of this round of games sit top of the tree. Yes, by the time this game comes around – as
it’s the last one – they might not be top, but a win here over United will see them back to the summit.
After a shaky start to the season, United’s new manager – Erik Ten Hag – has steadied the ship and they’ve now bagged 9 points after recent wins at Southampton and Leicester.
They are now back at home and the match betting ahead of Sunday’s game sees Man Utd at 2.55, the Draw 3.50 and Arsenal at 2.62 – so a very tight one for the bookies to call!
Last season’s repeat fixture ended in a humdinger 3-2 win for United and if you fancy that again, you’ll be rewarded at 26.00, while 3 of the last 7 repeat games ended 1-1, so this is another correct score to have on your radar at 7.50.
However, despite last season’s goal-fest we’ve actually seen 5 of the last 7 head-to-heads go UNDER 2.5 GOALS, so it’s slightly surprising that this is the second favourite in this market at 2.10.
50% of the last 8 repeat fixtures have also been draws, so this will certainly appeal to the neutrals out there at 3.50.
United are also unbeaten in 14 of the last 15 repeat fixtures, so for the more cautious punters the 1.44 on offer on United/Draw in the ‘Double Chance’ market might catch the eye.
Other options in the game are that both teams ‘DIDN’T’ score in 4 of the last 5 meetings, so this can be backed at 2.25.
The team news will be key in terms of the scoring markets – but if involved Ronaldo is a man to have onside as he’s scored 3 times in the last 2 head-to-heads – he’s on offer at 5.50 (1st) or 2.50 (anytime).
Arsenal’s new summer signing – Jesus – has hit the ground running for his new club too and is at 6.50 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime), while the Gunner’s Martinelli is another to have his scoring boots on at the moment – he’s 9.00 (1st) or 3.75 (anytime).
Overall, it’s a clash that seems to have a bit of fire back in it, based on the better form of these two heavyweights. Both come into the game in winning form, but with United’s top record at home to the Londoners then you feel the Red Devils will get something here.
The DRAW at 3.50 looks fair value on an outcome that’s paid off for backers in this repeat fixture in 50% of the last 8 meetings.
BEST BET: DRAW @ 3.50