Championship Play-off Final

Saturday 29th May 2021

Brentford v Swansea 15:00

– Both league head-to-heads this season ended 1-1

– Brentford have lost just 1 of their last 6 vs Swansea

– Both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-heads

– 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads went UNDER 2.5 GOALS

– The last head-to-head saw a RED CARD (Swansea)

– Swansea have scored in their last 5 vs Brentford

– Swansea top league scorer this season, Andre Ayew (16)

– Brentford top league scorer this season, Ivan Toney (31)

Billed as the most lucrative one-off game of football in the world, this Saturday’s Championship Play-off Final will reward the winners with a place in the Premier League and with that comes a huge payday!

Brentford and Swansea are the sides facing off and with such a lot at stake we can expect a tense and fiery affair – in fact, the last time these sides meant in the league there was a red card too (Swansea), so there may be some boil over from that as well.

Plus, these sides also met in the Championship Play-off semi-final last season – a two-legged game that Brentford won, but then went onto lose the final 2-1 to Fulham.

The 90mins match betting sees Brentford as the favourites at 1.90, with the draw 3.30 and Swansea 4.20. While the outright betting has Brentford at 1.44 and Swansea 2.75.

However, if this season’s league head-to-head form is anything to go by there won’t be much between the teams – both clashes this term ended 1-1! You can back a repeat of that score at 6.50.

Delving deeper into the head-to-head stats tells us that Brentford have lost just one of their last six against Swansea, but there is little value here with Brentford/Draw in the ‘Double Chance’ market is only 1.22.

It’s a fixture that both teams have scored in 4 of the last 5 too – this can be backed at 2.20. While 3 of the last 4 meetings have gone Under 2.5 Goals, but this is on offer at only 1.53.

Looking at each team’s main scorers, Swansea’s Andre Ayew has netted 16 league goals this season so will be popular at 8.00 (1st) or 3.75 (anytime), while Brentford’s Ivan Toney has taken the Championship by storm this season with a staggering 31 league goals. The English forward heads the scoring markets at 3.75 (1st) or 2.05 (anytime).

Overall, it’s a tricky game and with so much at stake the form book can often go out the window. These games are generally can be settled by a fine margin or a moment of brilliance, while with it being a one-off game the team that goes a goal down certainly has nothing to lose in trying to reply and taking more risks.

We expect Brentford to win and having lost in the final last season they won’t want to be wanting to repeat that feeling – this should act as a twelfth man for The Bees. But the safer call might be to side with ‘BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE’ at 2.20, with looks decent value with each side having plenty of firepower to call on and also with this bet paying out in 4 of their last 5 meetings.