Premier League Saturday 6th November 2021
Manchester United v Manchester City 12:30
- Met 164 times in the league, Man Utd 65, Draw 52, Man City 47
- Last season’s repeat fixture ended, Man Utd 0-0 Man City
- Man Utd took 4 points off City in the league last season
- Man Utd have won 3 of their last 5 vs Man City (all comps)
- he last 5 head-to-heads ALL went UNDER 2.5 GOALS
- Man City have lost just 2 of their last 10 away league games at Man Utd
- Man City have won 2 of the 5 repeat fixtures 1-2
- Both teams DIDN’T score in the last 5 head-to-heads (all comps)
- Just 2 DRAWS in the last 15 head-to-heads (all comps)
- Man City have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 vs Man Utd
Whether you’re a Manchester football fan or not, the annual Premier League clash between United and City is always a season highlight.
The sides meet at Old Trafford this Saturday lunchtime in a game that is going to have a massive bearing on the title race.
United and boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer got back on track after a humiliating 5-0 defeat to Liverpool at the end of October, with a smooth 0-3 away win over Spurs, while City were shocked with a 2-0 home defeat at the hands of Crystal Palace.
So, as we head into ‘week 11’, United site on 17 points and are just 3 points off rivals City – therefore, they will know a win here will get their season right back on track.
The match betting still favours City though, despite being the away side at 1.66, with the draw 4.00 and United as big at 4.50 – probably one of the biggest prices they’ve been for a home league game for some time – if not ever!
United fans will also gain hope from taking 4 points off City last season, with this repeat fixture last term ending 0-0 – a repeat of that score can be backed at 15.00.
Add in that the Red Devils have won 3 of their last 5 against City, then that price of 4.50 for a home win is sure to tempt some punters in. If you want a bit more security, then you could opt for the 2.10 on offer on United or the Draw in the ‘Double Chance’ market.
Having said that, City have lost only two of their last 10 away league games against United and have won two of the last five repeat fixtures 1-2 – this can be backed at 9.00.
But, in more recent times, clashes between these two sides have not seen many goals. All of the last five head-to-heads (all comps) went Under 2.5 Goals, while City have actually failed to score in 4 of their last 5 vs United.
You can back Under 2.5 Goals at 2.20 or both teams ‘NOT’ to score at 2.20 – this has paid out in ALL of the last 5 head-to-heads too.
Many would feel that we’d have had a lot of draws between these heavyweights of English football – but, think again as we’ve only had two stalemates in the last 15 meetings. You can back a City or United win in the ‘Double Chance’ market at 1.22.
Team news is always key when looking at the player scoring markets, especially for City who chop and change their starting eleven a lot. Their Jesus is on offer at 7.50 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime), while Kevin de Bruyne is another likely option at 7.50 (1st) or 2.87 (anytime).
Looking at the United players, Ronaldo is their shortest player to score at 6.50 (1st) or 2.60 (anytime) and with the Portuguese hitman having a great record in big games, then it would be a huge shock if he’s not figuring from the off.
Overall, it’s a game that a draw for either side is probably no good. City need to get their title defence back on track after losing to Palace last week, while despite a 0-3 away win over struggling Spurs last Saturday, United boss – Ole Gunnar Solskjaer – is far from out of the woods, but a victory over their main rivals will surely buy the Norwegian a bit more time at the helm.
Overall, it’s a tricky game to call. City are the safer option but showed last week they are not bombproof anymore. United or the draw is tempting at 2.10 in a game their big players are sure to be up for. You suspect the press backlash after the Liverpool defeat hurt a few feelings with some of the main United stars and that showed in their response at Spurs last week.
However, the call might be to stick with a low-scoring game and under 2.5 goals – something that’s paid out in all of the last 5 head-to-heads, so the 2.20 on a repeat looks fair value.
BEST BET: UNDER 2.5 GOALS @ 2.20